Despite Monday's Results, the Cubs and Dodgers Like 'em Loaded

Monday's tense victory over the Dodgers might have been much less so if the Cubs had capitalized on a bases loaded/one out situation in the last of the sixth inning. Instead Chad Billingsley turned Kosuke Fukudome's hard groundball back to the mound into a snappy, 1-2-3, inning-ending double play.

In general, the Cubs offense, which remains the highest-scoring in the NL at 5.7 R/G, has held up its end of the workload in 2008. It's certainly been true in the precise situation that Fukudome found himself.

According to numbers presented at Bill James Online (subscription required),

the Cubs have faced a bases loaded/one out scenario 28 times this season and subsequently produced 55 runs. That's about 22% above the average for all of MLB this year.

Relatvely speaking, the Cubs are even more lethal with the bases jammed and two out. From 33 such opportunities, the Cubs have generated 40 runs--about 54% above the MLB average.

Of course, when it came to missing couldn't-miss scoring opportunities Monday afternoon, the Dodgers took the day: in both the sixth and eighth innings, they filled the bases with one out, yet came away empty both times. This, too, is uncharacteristic. So far this season, the Dodgers have out-produced the rest of baseball by about 12% when the bags are loaded with one out. And when there are two out? The Dodgers have tallied 53 runs in 26 chances. That's 158% above the MLB average.

I'm glad I didn't know any of this while driving around and listening to Pat Hughes Monday afternoon. The game was nerve-racking enough.

Comments

Forgive me if it's 3/44, but ex-Cub Jeremi Gonzalez died at age 33. Struck by lightning. (Twice, I guess, if you count the lightning in a bottle that struck him in his one good cub season).

http://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/news?slug=ap-obit-geremigonzalez&prov=ap&type=lgns

I believe he had changed his spelling to Geremi. FWIW

Rest in peace.

jorge bell approves.

Huh. I thought the story had it wrong.

from the Sun-Times:

http://www.suntimes.com/sports/baseball/cubs/97143...

Outfielder/pinch hitter Daryle Ward hoped to be cleared to take batting practice today for the first time since having an epidural May 19 to relieve pain caused by a bulging disc. He has done limited conditioning exercises since then and said his goal is to return from the disabled list as close as possible to his eligible return date of Thursday. Manager Lou Piniella, though, said, ''I think it'll be a while.''

Helplessly Hoping...in Iowa (Pie, Murt, EPat, Hill, Marshall)
que CSN&Y...

from the Trib:
http://chicagosports.chicagotribune.com/sports/bas...

"They're changing something with my swing and my stance [getting his leg kick down sooner without dropping his hands too quickly] and I'm going to be better. The GM and Lou told me when I feel good and comfortable I'll be back. But right now I don't think I'll be back soon."

...felix pie

is this kid well adjusted to his situation or what?

about time the trib brought some literature that isn't "dumbed down" too...nice to see an article written like this every once in a while.]

btw, be sure to check out the detailed murton comments.

Wow. A good article from the Trib? It makes me wish Melissa Isaacson would take over Paul Sullivan's job.

Seconded. Not only was that article well-written, but she actually managed to get meaningful, interesting quotes out of those guys. Maybe it helps that they're away from the big city media, but I can't remember ever reading an article with that many quotes that didn't sound completely manufactured.

Well done, Melissa Isaacson. Also, I wish Carol Slezak would take some notes on how to be a female sports journalist without turning every article into an issue of gender.

I wish Carol Slezak would take some notes on how to be a female sports journalist

You say this as if being a female sports journalist is any different than being a male journalist...

It is.

It is far different when you are playing to a predominantly male audience as it is when your readership is closer to 50/50.

It's also different because she has no Twig and Berries

A conversation about good female sports journalists and no mention of Carrie Muskat....

....being replaced?

Probably because it *is* different.

One facet of Doug's point is that a well-written article shouldn't have you thinking about the gender of the author. I've seen cases where both men and women gender-type their articles. The cases where women do it are more annoying to me since I'm a guy; I would imagine the reverse might be true for female readers.

I also find that a lot of female journalists have problems finding their niche, fitting into a male-dominated field. Too many of them write fluff pieces (perhaps that's what they're assigned?). Some try to be chatty (especially radio media) and try to relate to the predominately male audience as a friendly voice. To me, the more successful women in the field are those who simply do solid reporting. And Erin Andrews, who might do solid reporting, but somehow I never quite hear what she's saying. 8)

Reading this article, I had no idea whether this was a male or female journalist. I just knew it was well-written, which is both rare and refreshing. More, please.

I'm not saying being a female sports journalist is fundamentally different than being a male sports journalist, but hacky journalists like Slezak tend to bring their own agendas/biases into reporting (I could say the same about people like Stephen A. Smith/race or Jay Mariotti/decent haircuts, etc).

Also, sports journalism is predominantly male. It might not be different, but it is much harder to be a female sports journalist, and the best way to earn respect is to write interesting articles with real information, rather than stir the pot with bullshit about Ozzie's blow-up dolls.

I could have said "I wish Carol Slezak would take some notes on how to be a GOOD sports journalist," but in her case gender is an issue and that's why I mentioned it.

Maybe it's the dearth of good female sports journalists (the only decent one I can think of is Jemele Hill), but to be honest, after I read the article I checked the byline and was a bit surprised that it was written by a woman. I suppose that might make me somewhat sexist, but at least I can recognize that initial reaction as unfair.

but hacky journalists like Slezak tend to bring their own agendas/biases into reporting

Sure... but as you admit, this has nothing to do with gender and everything to do with being a hack.

but in her case gender is an issue and that's why I mentioned it.

I still have no idea how Slezak's gender is the issue. She doesn't wrote good content. That would remain true regardless of her gender.

And I'm saying that it is entirely possible for her to have a hard time relating stories to men. Men communicate very differently to each other than we do with women. It may be hard for her to reach her audience.

Can we agree on that she sucks?

Yea - no problem saying that. :)

OK, so it's not that her gender is an issue per se, but the fact that she constantly brings gender into the equation when it's either not warranted or simply used to attempt to make a salacious story.

Male, female whatever. A hack is a hack.

...or in CSlezak's case of 0/0

In other news, tonight's game is on ESPN. Dave O'Brien & Sut. Maybe we'll have an Erin Andrews sighting...

For those not in town --

It is a horrible night for baseball. Current temp is about 45, with a wind from the north about 20 mph gusting to 30mph.

I know it's a horrible night for baseball because my son has a Little League game at the lake front in about an hour. Hopefully, some father will remember to bring a flask. This is nuts.

This spring sucks donkey balls. Yesterday it was 80 and today 45? Unreal.

news flash:

the weather in chicago sucks!

Worst January-May stretch in a long, long time. Consistently miserable, even by Chicago standards. But, no tornados or earthquakes -- could be much worse.

And yet, despite the weather, both Chicago teams are in first place. Curious.

You think Hitler is enjoying a nice ice skate right now?

Probably in Millennium Park. I can't imagine Hell being much worse than Chicago this winter/spring.

Per Gordon Wittenmyer:

Soriano LF
Fontenot 2b
Lee 1b
Ramirez 3b
Fukudome RF
Edmonds CF
Soto C
Cedeno SS
Gallagher P

Why wouldn't we do Soto 6th and Edmonds 7th to break up the lefties? Also, I was really hoping they'd give Soriano's bad legs the day off with a really cold day today (for you non-Chicago residents, it's supposed to be in the upper 40's tonight).

Recent comments

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  • The only player in the deal that would cause me a second thought is Gleyber Torres.

    McKinney and Crawford are decent prospects but both are redundant/replaceable in the system and Warren was really only a middle-reliever or #6 starter, so to me it's really just Torres for Chapman.

    Arizona Phil 1 min 23 sec ago view
  • There is no Comp pick for players traded mid-season. 2+ months of Chapman is it.

    mbauer 3 min 40 sec ago view
  • to get one of the best you have to give up one/some of your best...but it's a bit painful to watch the system's best prospect walk for any 2-3 month rental, especially one that's not an everyday player.

    crunch 6 min 10 sec ago view
  • I assume Chapman will replace Richard on the roster, but who goes down when Cahill gets activated? Maybe Grimm?

    And when Soler and Coghlan get healthy, how do they fit them on the roster when they're ready to be activated?

    chitownmvp01 9 min 16 sec ago view
  • We are giving up a lot, but it's not like we're trading Addison Russell for 2+ months of Jason Hammel. When impact players become available, they are going to cost you. The other bids could also have been high.

    Having Chapman as a rental is potentially less disruptive than having him come in with an extension in place. 

    CTSteve 11 min 1 sec ago view
  • Billy McKinney had season-ending knee surgery last August and came to Minor League Camp this year somewhat restricted. (He was used mostly as a DH in Cactus League Minor League Camp games), and I'm not sure he's 100% right now (he's repeating AA, and his XBH numbers are way down, like he's not getting good rotation in his lowev half). That might have been part of the reason why the trade wasn't completed right away.

    Arizona Phil 18 min 20 sec ago view
  • Rashad Crawford was a basketball star in HS (he was known as "Baby Jordan", and baseball was only his second sport) and he has plus-speed and athleticism, so when the Cubs drafted him (Keith Lockhart was the scout)  he was seen as a long-term project.  

    I was at Fitch Park the day that Rashad Crawford became a LH hitter, He waa never a switch-hitter, He went directly from being a RH hitter to a LH hitter, which I had never seen before. 

    Arizona Phil 26 min 15 sec ago view
  • I'm with Rob G and Johann here. It's not about Chapman as a pitcher. I just don't want to have to block out a real problem (the domestic violence) in order to try to enjoy the frivolous ball and stick game.

    Charlie 34 min 20 sec ago view
  • ROB G & BOB R: You're right. The QO can only be extended if the player spends the entire previous season with one club, so only the Yankees could have offered one to Chapman (if he wasn't traded). If an Article XX-B FA is traded during the season, the new club can't offer a QO. .

    Arizona Phil 35 min 10 sec ago view
  • i was going off what AZPhil said above...they keep talking about tweaking the rules, i didn't know if that had been changed or not. my winter/spring was way too hectic aside from a couple weeks vacation in janurary and i missed a lot of stuff.

    if not, this is one hell of an expensive trade for what looks to be 30-40 innings of play...including the playoffs. damn.

    crunch 46 min 26 sec ago view
  • Did the QO rules change?

    unless there's a TARDIS involved, I dont believe that's a possibility

    Rob G. 50 min 31 sec ago view
  • I didn't think you could offer a QO to a player who was traded during the season? For example, Lester was not offered a QO when the Cubs signed him.

    Rob Richardson 51 min 56 sec ago view
  • I think the assumption is that make him a Qualify Offer and he signs elsewhere next year.

    billybucks 54 min 59 sec ago view
  • cubs QO, chapman declines, cubs get a draft pick, brewers sign him for 6/90m, brewers win world series in a sweep as chapman strikes out g.torres in game 4 vs the yanks.

    crunch 55 min 30 sec ago view
  • Sorry, how are the Cubs getting a pick out of this?

    Rob G. 1 hour 12 min ago view
  • Besides what he adds to the Cubs bullpen, getting Aroldis Chapman means the Giants and Nationals (and Indians) can't get him, and that could be important come the post-season. 

    When the opponent knows Chapman is out there ready to pitch in the 9th, it can cause the other team to alter their strategy and play things differently than they otherwise might prefer to play things in the 6th, 7th, and 8th innings. 

    Arizona Phil 1 hour 14 min ago view