Cubs Hits Of The Week (4/28 Through 5/4)

The five hits that did the most to enhance the Cubs' chance of winning during the past. not terribly successful week against the teams we'll have to beat if we want to take the division, as measured by FanGraphs' Win Probability Added (WPA):

#5 Big Hit: Tuesday, v. the Brewers, 7th inning — The opener of the Cubs' three-game series with the Brewers is getting out of hand when Mike Fontenot hits a two-out, bases-clearing double that brings the home team to within two runs at 9-7. WPA .133

#4 Big Hit: Sunday, v. the Cardinals, 2nd inning — Reed Johnson gets the Cubs on the board against Todd Wellemeyer by doubling home Geovany Soto, moving Fontenot to third, and setting the Cubs up for a monster inning...that never materializes. WPA .134


#3 Big Hit:
Thursday, v. the Brewers, 9th inning — Moments after seeing his team's closer (and I use the word loosely) cough up a 3-1 lead, Ronny Cedeno leads off the last of the ninth by working Eric Gagne for a walk, and with the power-hitting Soto due up, the stage is set for a dramatic resolution. Unfortunately, Soto, who strikes out, and Felix Pie, who raps into a game-ending DP, didn't read the script. WPA .135


#2 Big Hit:
Saturday, v. the Cardinals, 4th inning — The Cubs are already leading 1-0 when Soto steps in against Kyle Lohse with the bases loaded, cracks a ground-rule double to extend the Chicago lead to 3-0, and reminds us once again how positively swell it is to have a catcher who can rake. WPA .145


#1 Big Hit:
Friday, v. the Cardinals, 9th inning — With a certain segment of the Cub-loving population already planning their "We have to trade Alfonso Soriano!" phone calls to the local sportstalk radio stations, Fonzie does all he can do to make everyone forget what a truly horrific night he was having by sending a laser beam over the leftfield fence and bringing the Cubs even with the Cardinals at 3-3. (We should have just gone into a prevent defense after that and settled for a tie.) WPA .342

Comments

And...

http://www.dailyherald.com/story/?id=185212

Cedeno shagging flyballs in center again, Pie on the hot seat.

sure Reed Johnson has been swell and all, I mean, by all means we must get this guy in the lineup everyday:

vs righties: 279/324/328
vs lefties: 273/415/303

that's a 677 OPS overall (78 OPS+). Meh...

I see that link is 3/44 and in another thread..sorry.

Cedeno is outhitting Pie so far. I'm not saying that will necessarily last, but if Lou is willing to bench Pie based on poor approach and poor results in a limited number of ABs, why shouldn't he be willing to play Cedeno based on good approach and good results in a limited number of ABs?

I'm not sure we have any center fielders who are going to hit well enough to justify a starting role, but Cedeno (if they think he can play center) and Johnson are closer than Pie at this point. I still think (hope) Pie will hit, eventually.

if Cedeno can handle CF and keeps hitting, great. I doubt that.

my point was that Reed Johnson isn't very good and the more he plays, the more he'll be exposed for being not very good at anything but taking pitches.

He's fine on the short-side of a platoon, start playing him vs. righties and it's gonna get ugly quick.

On the other hand, it'll give Hendry a position to look for so he can justify his cellphone bill.  

How long until Kfuk gets a look in Center?

How long until Kfuk gets a look in Center?

As soon as we trade for Brian Roberts and can move DeRosa to RF.

 

for those using IE7...

First, my apologies, it's a horrible program.

Second, I think I fixed the tab problem on the right sidebar and the "Upcoming Games' and Site Search tabs should be loading and working properly now.

Harrison Ford is a great actor for action pictures, but my God he made need some help against your Chicago Cubs.

Check May 22nd on Cubs schedule on cubs.com-

http://chicago.cubs.mlb.com/schedule/index.jsp?c_i...

I guess he didn't want to face Dbacks, for obivous reasons.

Shorty will be in the bullpen to pitch relief.

"Okay, DR JONES!!!"

Way off topic but -- I like the Cubs position right now.

Cubs are currently on pace for 94 wins. They have had a mini-season already -- a very hot streak, their current funk, injuries to key players, soem players hot, some cold, etc. Pretty indicative of how the season could play out.

The Cards have the bigest positive diffential in home vs. away games -- 21 at home (14-7) vs. only 11 on the road (6-5). Hopefully, the road will jump up and bite them a bit.

Brewers have taken a big hit with Gallardo, and Gagne looks shaky.

All in all -- I like where we are.

However -- we better win a few in Cincy -- the big bad D-Backs will be tough this weekend.

It's just so frustrating to see them smack a team around for one game and then be so listless for the other two.

When they were down 4-2 against the Cards, I had that same old feeling, "Welp, this game's lost," even though it was only the 4th.

When they're firing on all cylinders, they kick ass. But when they're lethargic, they're real lethargic.

well we could use a CFer...

:)

I'd trade a PTBNL for 25% of what's remaining on his contract. Especially since we are already on the hook for 40% of it as is.

If you're not wiling to give Pie a shot, then a year of JJ at a reduced salary could be worthwhile, especially if you platoon him with Johnson. They'd give us league average defense and acceptable offense from center field. I'd rather put Fukie in CF and use Murt in RF, but Murt can't seem to find his bat and they aren't willing to put Fukudome in center, so that wish will go unfulfilled. I'd much rather send a PTBNL for Jones than send Marshall, Gallagher and bunches of other guys to the Orioles for Roberts. We're going to need at least one of Gally and Marshall, maybe both. Cedeno is starting to look like our best option at SS, so I wouldn't send him over in a Roberts trade either.

Is that another Hendry Acquisition nobody wants?

Izturis, Barret, Jacque, Marquis

Woo... the racist is back!

Seems like there is a pretty good team a little south of Chicago that wants Izturis, and is doing fine with him.

If you really think Barrett was a bad signing, I am not sure what to tell you.

Jacque was a lot better than many people thought during his 2 years in Chicago.

Marquis is valuable pitcher in his role - a #5.

And sure... ignore: Fukudome, Soriano, Lee, ARam, DeRosa, Lieber, etc.

Even if the Cubs wanted him back, not sure he'd come - too many bad vibes in the past.

platoon Cfer with Reed Johnson. Worth a flyer for the minimal cost. IMHO

Cubnut, since the team has only won one game in each of the last series, did you think of doing Opponent's big hits of the week?

There were plenty more of those.

I haven't considered it. It would be like reliving a series of root canals.

Actually a good idea.

Why in the world would we want to waste a roster spot on Jacque Jones who was hitting .165?? If we are going to take a pure flyer on someone, there are a ton of other free agents out there that would be better choices.

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  • Sure, no marks and some inconsistencies in the witness's statements. But firing your gun into garage wall immediately after an argument and punching out your car window is still threatening and out of control behavior. There was certainly enough for MLB to think it warranted a 30-game suspension.

    Charlie 20 min 5 sec ago view
  • I'd prefer they be flexible with the closing situation depending on matchups. You're not really adding a lefty reliever if you use him strictly as a closer.

    Charlie 20 min 37 sec ago view
  • Stockpiling young talent isn't only for trading for someone like Chapman though. Even with an elite closer winning the World Series is basically a crap shoot so the key is to get to the playoffs as much as possible and not just mortgage everything on one year. Once you get there an elite bullpen certainly helps but the playoffs can be won by one hitter or starting pitcher getting hot (Murphy, Molina, Baumgardner) and a closer might not be able to stop that.

    johann 44 min 56 sec ago view
  • I'm also not crazy about press convictions. As the police report noted, there were no marks on the lady in question. There's a TMZ link (of course) to her police pictures, as well.

    I think the only way this trade goes real bad is if Cubbery intervenes and Chapman is suddenly bad for some reason.

    Old and Blue 48 min 17 sec ago view
  • I am right there with you closing in on 60.

    I don't care that much about "mortgaging" one player who is not only blocked by two guys, but is not ready to hit the majors for at least a couple years.

    There is no reason why this team, this year, can't have a real shot at something NONE of us have experienced.

    Further, I don't feel that even if they fall short that they have ruined their farm system.

    I have made my opinion clear here, with others, Warren was shit on the Cubs save one spot start.

    The E-Man 2 hours 17 min ago view
  • Trading for Warren, Warren sucking, getting Warren back for Chapman plus 3 prospects, sounds like Revenge of The Yankees on the former Boston executive. Old rivalries never die.

    I pray to the heavens above Chapman doesn't suck for some reason, or he'll be booed out of town faster than a Todd Hundley revival meeting.

    Old and Blue 2 hours 25 min ago view
  • I'm kind of nostalgic for the Schwarber-for-Miller rumors.

    Brick 2 hours 37 min ago view
  • This offseason, after some ridiculous playoff run and Chapman saving every game from here until the end of the postseason striking out 27/9innings, I welcome anyone to quote this thread and call me a dummy: I hate this trade, and my hate is 2 parts Chapman makes this team less likeable and 1 part that's a ridiculous overpay for 30 regular season innings and, at tops, 10 postseason innings. Already hoping they don't extend him.

    Charlie 2 hours 39 min ago view
  • btw...Thanks AZ Phil. I'm really enjoying your take on this trade.

    Cubster 3 hours 1 min ago view
  • I'm a bit disappointed on the Warren experience. Essentially they gave Castro away for crickets (OK, well they signed Zobrist with the Castro salary dump). Otherwise one might look at it as Chapman for Castro and our #1 minors prospect (Torres) + McKinney/Crawford. Seems pricey for a 2 month rental. We will see if this price tag is that steep in a relative way based on the remaining deadline deals for relievers.

    Cubster 3 hours 1 min ago view
  • Yep. One of the great things about this team (in addition to being really good at baseball) was the "likable" factor. Feels a bit different now. Who knows...maybe Chapman will be the king of the dance parties.

    billybucks 3 hours 10 min ago view
  • Here are some possible corresponding minor league moves we might see in the aftermath  of the Chapman trade: 

    SOUTH BEND to MYRTLE BEACH: OF Donnie Dewees and INF Bryant Flete  

    EUGENE to SOUTH BEND: OF Robert Garcia and INF Vimael Machin 

    There is really no reason to replace Billy McKinney at Tennessee because both Chris Coghlan and Jorge Soler are doing their rehab at Tennessee.  

    And there are plenty of pitchers at Iowa. No need to replace Warren at AAA. .  

    Arizona Phil 3 hours 30 min ago view
  • I am 70 years old. The Cubs last played in the World Series in 1945. I was born in 1946. I hate to lose a prospect like Torres, but when the opportunity is there to get that World Series ring, you go for it. This was the idea in stock piling all this young talent. I would like to see Reddick added now and the Cubbies should be done.

    Hagsag 4 hours 1 min ago view
  • I would expect Richard to accept an optional assignment because based on how he's played this season, there is a decent chance that he won't find work elsewhere. Rather stay and potentially get a ring. Same goes for Coghlan since he's struggled mightily this year.

    Edwards should not go down. He's pitched very well and Maddon is very impressed with him. I would expect Grimm to go down for Cahill so he can get back on track (he's pitched better in July, but he's not getting enough appearances).

    chitownmvp01 4 hours 4 min ago view
  • chitownmvp01: Indeed Clayton Richard would seem to be odd man out once Chapman reports, but Richard might accept a minor league assignment if he is promised a return to Chicago on 9/1 when MLB Active List rosters expand (Richard has minor league ioptions left).

    Arizona Phil 4 hours 7 min ago view
  • The only player in the deal that would cause me a second thought is Gleyber Torres.

    McKinney and Crawford are decent prospects but both are redundant/replaceable in the system and Warren was really only a middle-reliever or #6 starter, so to me it's really just Torres for Chapman.

    Arizona Phil 4 hours 28 min ago view